Rapid response report on COVID-19 in New Brunswick: April 27, 2020 | UNB

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Rapid response report on COVID-19 in New Brunswick: April 27, 2020

Author: Erfan Mahmood Bhuiyan, Eva Christensen, Bethany Daigle, Sandra Magalhaes, Ted McDonald, Pablo Miah, Chandy Somayaji
Year: 2020
Category: Health Publications

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This series of reports provides successive updates of projections that the trajectory of COVID-19 cases could follow in New Brunswick based on the experiences of other countries and regions who experienced initial COVID-19 infections earlier than NB. Specifically, these projections estimate what NB’s incident cases, hospitalizations and mortality might be if our province experienced disease trajectories similar to a range of comparison countries and regions, for both 10-day forward and peak infection scenarios. By updating our estimates in subsequent reports as more data become available, we are able to examine how NB is actually doing relative to those scenarios and use the updated data to revise our forecasts accordingly.